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  #1  
Old 07-26-2010, 08:26 PM
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Price Variation by Season?

I was hoping someone with more knowledge then I, with regards to the automotive market, could help me figure something out.

I'm in the market for a new car. I've decided on a 2000-2003 Ford Excursion with a 7.3L, with hopefully less then 75k miles. I've been pricing for awhile, but am now in a position to buy.

Anyway, over the last two years it seems during the cooler months, prices were at their low point, and are now currently at their highest. I've always been finicky getting exactly what I wanted with a car. I once drove 8 hours to pick up a 98 Cobra. I'm willing to go even further for this, so my pool of listing is large, making this observation unlikely to be a fluke. The variation is also rather large. The last two winters, I could have picked up what I'm looking for, for about $15,000. Right now, with that mileage, around $23,000. That's a pretty big difference.

My question is, what is the best explanation for this? Is this reflective of diesel fuel prices? Is it simply because the summer months are when people take the most long distance trips, and this vehicle is ideal for those? The economy is worse, so I doubt the low prices the last two winters are from people who just couldn't afford a gas guzzler.

I'm in no rush, especially if prices will drop by 25%-50% four months from now. Is there anyone with an informed opinion that could advise?
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Old 07-27-2010, 05:20 AM
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You also have to remimber that two years ago this truck was only out of production for two years. So with breakdowns and accidents there are even fewer available today then when you saw them for 15K. My guess is that the excursion will become like the old body style powerstroke and bring even more money in years to come.
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Old 07-27-2010, 05:48 AM
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Mine had 191 on the clock and i got it for 13.5 which I am happy with since it was plum bone stock all highway miles and SPOTLESS interior. And it will be very hard to find one in that year range with that mileage keep in mind a powerstroke at 100k miles is barely broke in. But good luck with the search.
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Old 07-27-2010, 06:05 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Goose View Post
Mine had 191 on the clock and i got it for 13.5 which I am happy with since it was plum bone stock all highway miles and SPOTLESS interior. And it will be very hard to find one in that year range with that mileage keep in mind a powerstroke at 100k miles is barely broke in. But good luck with the search.
I would feel comfortable buying one with 100k-150k miles on it. The problem is trying to explain to my wife how a car with that many miles on it is worth $15k.
That and she's a chevy girl
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Old 07-28-2010, 07:34 AM
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Sounds like you have bigger problems than finding a truck. All kidding aside, I also had to give my wife the 100k miles in a diesel is not a bad thing talk. She thinks its the same if its gas or diesel and we know thats just not true.
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Old 07-28-2010, 07:40 AM
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Originally Posted by Stroker444 View Post
Sounds like you have bigger problems than finding a truck. All kidding aside, I also had to give my wife the 100k miles in a diesel is not a bad thing talk. She thinks its the same if its gas or diesel and we know thats just not true.

Fortunately, she's a car girl. If she gets a flat, instead of calling me to help, she'll just come home and tell me she broke her old spare tire swap record. She just doesn't have any experience with diesels. It shouldn't take long to teach her.
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Old 07-28-2010, 08:14 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Goose View Post
Mine had 191 on the clock and i got it for 13.5 which I am happy with since it was plum bone stock all highway miles and SPOTLESS interior. And it will be very hard to find one in that year range with that mileage keep in mind a powerstroke at 100k miles is barely broke in. But good luck with the search.
Just curious when did you sell yours and was it a southern vehicle?

I can't stand dealing with these scumbag car dealers, just talked to one that did not have the mileage listed on autotrader and I asked for the carfax and he kept telling me how nice it was, he is supposed to fax it. Asking $23K+ with 133K miles, KBB shows $17.5 I informed him after he told me that I have to pay for a 7.3L and mentioned KBB.....

I think a far bigger factor than season is the price of diesel, 2 years ago when it peaked above $5 gallon they were giving these trucks away. I wish it would go back up again....
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Old 07-28-2010, 08:27 AM
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Originally Posted by freesoul View Post
Just curious when did you sell yours and was it a southern vehicle?

I can't stand dealing with these scumbag car dealers, just talked to one that did not have the mileage listed on autotrader and I asked for the carfax and he kept telling me how nice it was, he is supposed to fax it. Asking $23K+ with 133K miles, KBB shows $17.5 I informed him after he told me that I have to pay for a 7.3L and mentioned KBB.....

I think a far bigger factor than season is the price of diesel, 2 years ago when it peaked above $5 gallon they were giving these trucks away. I wish it would go back up again....
Try a private seller. Here's one down south for you that's more reasonable. If this thing was black, I'd be all over it.


Quote:
2000 Ford Excursion - Limited Edition 4x4 7.3 Diesel


2000 Ford Excursion - Limited Edition 4x4 7.3 Diesel - $15500 (Apopka, FL)
Date: 2010-07-27, 10:02PM EDT
Reply to: sale-92nvd-1867092505@craigslist.org [Errors when replying to ads?]

Ford Excursion Limited Edition 4x4 - 7.3 Diesel -


144,500 miles


6" lift with 35X w/16 Pro Comp Rims, with less than 2,000 miles


Recent work new fuel pump, alternator and (2) Optima Red Tops


Ranch Hand Bumper


Lift and Rims both Pro Comp


$15.500 - OBO - Needs to move fast!


Call (407)716-4552

Additional Pictures at Pictures by gtwelsh - Photobucket

# Location: Apopka, FL
# it's NOT ok to contact this poster with services or other commercial interests






PostingID: 1867092505
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Old 07-28-2010, 08:30 AM
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yeah I looked at that one. Prefer stock and not big tires like that one. Still waiting on my finances to line up which should be within the next week but I'm still keeping my eyes open for now.
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Old 09-20-2010, 06:44 AM
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I pulled the trigger on an 03 Eddie Bauer with 138K miles, originally a Texas truck so the undercarriage is in great shape. Drives perfect. I'll pick it up on Wed and post pics. Asking $18,900 Final price $17,300. No mods whatsoever, has not even towed anything large (no brake controller)
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